In the world of winter maintenance a wrong weather forecast is much more than just a punch line, it causes a lot of stress, and sometimes results in bad decisions by winter maintenance supervisors. Accepting wrong weather forecasts is one way to handle the problem, making fun of the meteorologist is another, but it still does not improve your situation. Instead, there are things you can do to help you understand when a forecast might go wrong hours, maybe even days, before the storm. This discussion will talk about simple things you can do to understand how to still make good decisions even when the forecast is not working out. Such as looking at the time between the storm and the forecast can help you with deciding how much weight to give a forecast. Or how to spot the signs of a model only created forecast, and what pitfalls that can cause you. Today, the internet tries to scare us with an image from a model showing a storm 10 days away, and it gets everyone talking including those above you. What should you do about something like that? How do you explain your plan to everyone, up and down, how you are handling the situation so it works out in the end. Hopefully these tips will provide you the ability to sift through all the weather noise and continue to use a weather forecast to make your decisions easier. And yes, not all forecasts are right, but with these tips you can hopefully identify a potential wrong forecast before you fall victim to it.

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